Here are The CW’s renew/cancel standings for week 19 of the 2017-18 season.
|Show||Status||18-49 rating||Renew/Cancel Index|
|Crazy Ex-Girlfriend||🐻 🐻 🐻 🐻||0.2||0.0|
|Jane the Virgin||🐻 🐻 🐻 🐻||0.26||0.06|
|Dynasty||🐻 🐻 🐻 🐻||0.22||0.02|
|Arrow||🐻 🐻 🐻 🐻||0.5||0.3|
|Supernatural||🐻 🐻 🐻 🐻||0.6||0.4|
|Riverdale||🐻 🐻 🐻 🐻 🐻||0.55||0.35|
|Supergirl||🐻 🐻 🐻 🐻 🐻||0.55||0.35|
|Legends of Tomorrow||🐻 🐻 🐻 🐻 🐻||0.56||0.36|
|Black Lightning||🐻 🐻 🐻 🐻 🐻||0.73||0.53|
|The Flash||🐻 🐻 🐻 🐻 🐻||0.88||0.68|
Way back in week 3 of the season, the Bear told you “Dynasty” was a likely renewal because, in the words of CBS CEO Les Moonves, it was already profitable thanks to The CW’s Netflix deal and overseas sales.
The Bear stands by that prediction today — but boy, has this show not made it easy.
“Dynasty” has posted consistently meager ratings all season, never getting above a 0.3 in adults 18-49 for an initial airing. It has the numbers of “Crazy Ex-Girlfriend” without the critical cachet or awards attention.
And in turn, The CW and CBS Studios don’t particularly care that not many people in the U.S. care about “Dynasty.” If it’s making money for the parent company, there’s a good chance it remains on the air.
Note: All of The CW’s shows are produced by network owners CBS and Warner Bros., so the (O) designation (see below) is immaterial.
|DSW||Dead Show Walking: All but officially canceled yet still airing|
|🐻||sure bet to be canceled by May 2018|
|🐻 🐻||likely to be canceled by May 2018|
|🐻 🐻 🐻||tossup between renewal and cancellation by May 2018|
|🐻 🐻 🐻 🐻||likely to be renewed by May 2018|
|🐻 🐻 🐻 🐻 🐻||sure bet to be renewed by May 2018|
The Renew/Cancel Index is the amount above (or below) a replacement-level rating — i.e., the expected adults 18-49 rating of an emergency fill-in show should a series be canceled. For the 2016-17 season, replacement level is a 0.7 same-day rating in adults 18-49 for the Big 4 networks and a 0.2 for The CW. (Read more here.) The index number is taken by subtracting 0.7 (or 0.2) from a show’s average same-day rating.
Friday scripted shows (denoted with an “F” above) on the Big 4 have average ratings about 30 percent lower than those of other nights, therefore their ratings are multiplied by 1.43 (1/0.7, or 70 percent) before subtracting the replacement-level number. There is little variance for The CW on Friday, so the multiplier is not used.
Shows that have ended their seasons have their R/C Index number frozen at the point of their final episode.
(O) – Owned: All other things equal, shows owned by studios affiliated with their networks have a better shot at renewal than those from outside producers.