Click this link for the latest CBS renewal / cancellation information: [rssinpage rssfeed=’http://feeds.feedburner.com/TvbythenumbersCancel/renewCBSShows’ rssitems=’1′ rssformat=’Y’]
Our Renew / Cancel Index predicts potential renewal or cancellation for scripted broadcast primetime shows by the end of the 2014-15 season in May, 2015. (includes results from December 29, 2014 – January 25, 2015):
|Program||Status||Renew/ Cancel Index|
|The Good Wife||😐 😐 😐||0.70|
|Blue Bloods (F)||😐 😐 😐||0.73|
|The Mentalist||final season||0.73|
|Hawaii Five-0 (F)||😐 😐 😐||0.77|
|Person Of Interest||🙂 🙂 🙂 🙂||0.89|
|NCIS: Los Angeles||🙂 🙂 🙂 🙂||0.91|
|Mike & Molly||1.07|
|Two And A Half Men||final season||1.15|
|2 Broke Girls||1.20|
|NCIS: New Orleans||renewed||1.25|
|The Big Bang Theory||renewed||2.40|
The three CBS rookie dramas already renewed this season (Madam Secretary, Scorpion, NCIS:NO) are more rookie dramas than CBS renewed in the previous three seasons combined. And CBS has two more rookie dramas this season that could potentially be renewed (CSI:Cyber, Battle Creek).
Good news for rookie shows is obviously bad news for veterans, but, amazingly, fans of many veteran dramas are blind to that obvious fact.
Previously, the cancellation bear predicted that one fewer veteran drama would be canceled than rookies were renewed. Three rookies renewed means two veterans likely to be canceled. CSI is the easy prediction as first to be canceled. CBS has already signaled it’s demise (except to the most delusional of fans).
Which veteran drama will be next? It’ll be one of Hawaii Five-0, Blue Bloods or The Good Wife. Among the three, the bear’s got no way to make a prediction with public information, and probably never will. Prepare for a semi-wild guess.
Why is Stalker now likely to be canceled? Read this.
How can The McCarthys be certain to be canceled when it got more episodes ordered? Read this.
Is this finally the year that the bear catches CSI? He thinks so.
How is Elementary certain to be renewed with such low ratings? Read this.
Here are some notes from Bubble Watch’s Tom Shaw:Nothing new from Tom this week.
Better to Follow The Bear, Than Be Chased By Him. You can follow the Cancellation Bear on Twitter via @TheCancelBear. If you want to interact with the bear, Twitter, not these post’s comments, is the place to do that. It’s more fun for the bear and reaches far more people. While this post will likely be viewed many tens of thousands of times, the commenting audience is a tiny fraction of that (a few hundred comments is typical). Tens of thousands of fans follow the bear on Twitter.
*shows no longer on the air have their Renew/Cancel Index “frozen” at the point they left the schedule.
|😳||certain to be cancelled by May, 2015|
|😥 😥||more likely to be cancelled than renewed by May, 2015|
|😐 😐 😐||toss up between renewal or cancellation by May, 2015|
|🙂 🙂 🙂 🙂||more likely to be renewed than cancelled by May, 2015|
|certain to be renewed by May, 2015|
The Renew/Cancel Index is the ratio of a scripted show’s new episode adults 18-49 ratings relative to the new episode ratings of the other scripted shows on its own network. It’s calculated by dividing a show’s new episode Live+Same Day adults 18-49 average rating by the Live+Same Day new episode average of all the new scripted show episodes on the show’s own network. The network’s average ratings in the calculation are not time weighted (ex. hour long shows are not weighted twice what 30 minute shows are).
(F) -Fridays: Shows airing on Fridays were renewed with significantly lower than average Indexes.
How have the Renew / Cancel Index Worked Out In Past Seasons? See all the Renew / Cancel Index predicted renewals and cancellations from recent past television seasons.