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Our Renew / Cancel Index predicts potential renewal or cancellation for scripted broadcast primetime shows by the end of the 2013-14 season in May, 2014. (includes results from December 30, 2013 – April 20, 2014):
|Program||Status||Renew/ Cancel Index|
|Blue Bloods (F)||renewed||0.65|
|The Good Wife||renewed||0.66|
|Hawaii Five-0 (F)||renewed||0.66|
|We Are Men*||canceled||0.74|
|The Crazy Ones*||😥 😥||0.80|
|Person Of Interest||renewed||0.85|
|Mike & Molly||renewed||0.98|
|Friends With Better Lives||😐 😐 😐||0.99|
|Two And A Half Men||renewed||1.04|
|NCIS: Los Angeles||renewed||1.05|
|2 Broke Girls||renewed||1.16|
|How I Met Your Mother*||final season complete||1.55|
|The Big Bang Theory||renewed||2.31|
The cancellation bear is writing and posting this before last night’s ratings for Friends With Better Lives are known, he’s unfortunately keeping the show at a “toss up” for renewal or cancellation.
With the premiere of Bad Teacher on Thursday, April 24, expect two shows in the headline next week since it’s the bear’s last regular prediction post before final guesses on May 6.
Those looking for a prediction for Unforgettable from the bear are going to be left wanting. He doesn’t bother with summer shows. The fact that Unforgettable season 2 had a few left over episodes that are now airing during the season doesn’t change the fact that it’s a summer show.
From now through the end of the broadcast season in May, the Renew/Cancel Index values will only be calculated using new episodes airing during 2014.
Better to Follow The Bear, Than Be Chased By Him. You can follow the Cancellation Bear on Twitter via @TheCancelBear. If you want to interact with the bear, Twitter, not these post’s comments, is now the best place to do that. It’s more fun for the bear and reaches far more people. While this post will likely be viewed over 40,000 times, the comments audience is a tiny fraction of that (a few hundred comments is typical). 24,000 follow the bear on Twitter.
*shows no longer on the air have their Renew/Cancel Index “frozen” at the point they left the schedule.
|😳||certain to be cancelled by May, 2014|
|😥 😥||more likely to be cancelled than renewed by May, 2014|
|😐 😐 😐||toss up between renewal or cancellation by May, 2014|
|🙂 🙂 🙂 🙂||more likely to be renewed than cancelled by May, 2014|
|certain to be renewed by May, 2014|
The Renew/Cancel Index is the ratio of a scripted show’s new episode adults 18-49 ratings relative to the new episode ratings of the other scripted shows on its own network. It’s calculated by dividing a show’s new episode Live+Same Day adults 18-49 average rating by the Live+Same Day new episode average of all the new scripted show episodes on the show’s own network. The network’s average ratings in the calculation are not time weighted (ex. hour long shows are not weighted twice what 30 minute shows are).
(F) -Fridays: Shows airing on Fridays were renewed with significantly lower than average Indexes.
How have the Renew / Cancel Index Predictions Worked Out In Past Seasons? See all the Renew / Cancel Index predicted renewals and cancellations from recent past television seasons.