Click this link for the latest CBS renewal / cancellation information: [rssinpage rssfeed=’http://feeds.feedburner.com/TvbythenumbersCancel/renewCBSShows’ rssitems=’1′ rssformat=’Y’]
Our Renew / Cancel Index predicts potential renewal or cancellation for scripted broadcast primetime shows by the end of the 2011-12 season in May, 2012. (includes results through October 16, 2011):
|Program||Status||Renew/ Cancel Index|
|A Gifted Man (F)||😳||0.37|
|CSI:NY (F)||😐 😐 😐||0.50|
|Blue Bloods (F)||🙂 🙂 🙂 🙂||0.55|
|The Good Wife||😐 😐 😐||0.63|
|CSI: Miami||😐 😐 😐||0.68|
|Unforgettable||😐 😐 😐||0.75|
|How To Be A Gentleman||canceled||0.76|
|The Mentalist||🙂 🙂 🙂 🙂||0.78|
|Person Of Interest||😐 😐 😐||0.82|
|CSI||🙂 🙂 🙂 🙂||0.87|
|Hawaii Five-0||🙂 🙂 🙂 🙂||0.93|
|NCIS: Los Angeles||1.02|
|Mike & Molly||1.27|
|How I Met Your Mother||renewed||1.35|
|Big Bang Theory||renewed||1.41|
|2 Broke Girls||1.51|
|Two And A Half Men||2.22|
CBS seems to exist now primarily as a marketing vehicle and holding tank for its shows on their way to the money fountain that is syndication sales. CBS syndication sales people are good enough so that a show doesn’t have to get great ratings to be sold, but it does at least need decent ratings, and if a show can’t even get decent ratings CBS will heave it overboard so that it can use its place in the holding tank to try something else.
So far this season, none of its rookie dramas have jumped out to the ratings that have lead to a surprising (at least to some in the TV media) early syndication sale (as say Hawaii Five-0 and NCIS: LA did in past years).
While Person of Interest ratings seem like they could increase enough to make it syndication salable, Unforgettable is looking increasingly like its ratings will never make the syndication threshold, and having one as yet unsyndicate-able ratings laggard on its schedule (The Good Wife) is probably enough for CBS. Unforgettable ratings last week fell behind those of CSI: Miami. Unforgettable needs to pick up the pace, or CBS will find another use for its timeslot.
A Gifted Man will certainly be canceled by May, and almost certainly will get no more than the 13 episodes ordered. What will be interesting is seeing if CBS yanks it off the schedule prior to October 28. Commenter “Tom” predicts the announcement comes on 10/21. If you can get long odds in Vegas on that bet, take it.
- 😳 – certain to be cancelled by May, 2012
- 😥 :cry:- more likely to be cancelled than renewed by May, 2012
- 😐 😐 😐 – toss up between renewal or cancellation by May, 2012
- 🙂 🙂 🙂 🙂 – more likely to be renewed than cancelled by May, 2012
- – certain to be renewed by May, 2012
The Renew/Cancel Index is the ratio of a scripted show’s new episode adults 18-49 ratings relative to the new episode ratings of the other scripted shows on its own network. It’s calculated by dividing a show’s new episode Live+Same Day adults 18-49 average rating by the Live+Same Day new episode average of all the new scripted show episodes on the show’s own network. The network’s average ratings in the calculation are not time weighted (ex. hour long shows are not weighted twice what 30 minute shows are).
(F) -Fridays: Shows airing on Fridays were renewed with significantly lower than average Indexes.
How would the Renew / Cancel Index Have Done Predicting Last Season’s Scripted Show Fates? Check out how the Renew / Cancel Index predicted renewals and cancellations from the 2010-11 broadcast television season.