Our Renew / Cancel Index predicts potential renewal or cancellation for scripted broadcast primetime shows by the end of the 2010-11 season in May, 2011. (includes results from January 3 – May 15, 2011):
|Program||Status||Renew/ Cancel Index|
|One Tree Hill||renewed||0.89|
|Smallville (F)||final season||1.11|
The CW only gave the Renew / Cancel Index eight trips to the plate this season, but it made the most of them, batting 1.000 on the CW’s renewal and cancellation predictions. Late season drops by both One Tree Hill and Nikita shaved the confidence levels on their renewals, but the Index stayed on the good side of both calls.
With that the Index bids the 2010-11 CW season adieu, there will be no more CW Renew / Cancel posts until September, but expect a general post in the next couple weeks on some potential changes for next season’s Renew / Cancel Index.
- 😳 – certain to be cancelled by May, 2011
- 😥 :cry:- more likely to be cancelled than renewed by May, 2011
- 😐 😐 😐 – toss up between renewal or cancellation by May, 2011
- 🙂 🙂 🙂 🙂 – more likely to be renewed than cancelled by May, 2011
- – certain to be renewed by May, 2011
The Renew/Cancel Index is the ratio of a scripted show’s new episode adults 18-49 ratings relative to the new episode ratings of the other scripted shows on its own network. It’s calculated by dividing a show’s new episode Live+Same Day adults 18-49 average rating by the Live+Same Day new episode average of all the new scripted show episodes on the show’s own network. The network’s average ratings in the calculation are not time weighted (ex. hour long shows are not weighted twice what 30 minute shows are).
(F) -Fridays: Shows airing on Fridays were renewed with significantly lower than average Indexes.
How would the Renew / Cancel Index Have Done Predicting Last Season’s Scripted Show Fates? While the methods used have changed slightly from past seasons check out how the Renew / Cancel Index would have predicted renewals and cancellations from the 2009-10 broadcast television season.