Click this link for the latest CW renewal / cancellation information: [rssinpage rssfeed=’’ rssitems=’1′ rssformat=’Y’]

Our Renew / Cancel Index predicts potential renewal or cancellation for scripted broadcast primetime shows by the end of the 2011-12 season in May, 2012. (includes results through October 23, 2011):

Program Status Renew/ Cancel Index
Nikita (F) 😐 😐 😐 0.66
Gossip Girl  😐 😐 😐 0.77
Hart Of Dixie 😐 😐 😐 0.83
Supernatural (F) 🙂 🙂 🙂 🙂 0.90
90210 🙂 🙂 🙂 🙂 0.93
Ringer 🙂 🙂 🙂 🙂 1.01
The Secret Circle :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: 1.12
Vampire Diaries  :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: 1.58

A number of CW shows have had a one or two week ratings plunge that put a scare into their fans, but then recovered afterwards so that they could breathe a bit easier.

No such good news for Gossip Girl. It fell to a 0.6 adults 18-49 rating in its third episode this season and has stayed there for three episodes (pending final ratings for last night) without the recovery that other CW shows experienced. The ratings may still recover and save the show, but if it stays where it is, it continues to look like the show’s final season.

Update: Of course, within a few hours of posting this, Gossip Girl’s ratings from last night were adjusted up to a 0.7 for adults 18-49. Timing is indeed everything!


  • 😳 – certain to be cancelled by May, 2012
  • 😥 :cry:- more likely to be cancelled than renewed by May, 2012
  • 😐 😐 😐 – toss up between renewal or cancellation by May, 2012
  • 🙂 🙂 🙂 🙂 – more likely to be renewed than cancelled by May, 2012
  • :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: – certain to be renewed by May, 2012

The Renew/Cancel Index is the ratio of a scripted show’s new episode adults 18-49 ratings relative to the new episode ratings of the other scripted shows on its own network. It’s calculated by dividing a show’s new episode Live+Same Day adults 18-49 average rating by the Live+Same Day new episode average of all the new scripted show episodes on the show’s own network. The network’s average ratings in the calculation are not time weighted (ex. hour long shows are not weighted twice what 30 minute shows are).

(F) -Fridays: Shows airing on Fridays were renewed with significantly lower than average Indexes.

How would the Renew / Cancel Index Have Done Predicting Last Season’s Scripted Show Fates? Check out how the Renew / Cancel Index predicted renewals and cancellations from the 2010-11 broadcast television season.

Posted by:TV By The Numbers

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