Click this link for the latest ABC renewal / cancellation information: [rssinpage rssfeed=’http://feeds.feedburner.com/TvbythenumbersCancel/renewABCShows’ rssitems=’1′ rssformat=’Y’]

This is the final week of Renew / Cancel Index posts for the season, and since the fate of all the current broadcast shows should be known by the coming weekend, so as is our custom, we play Oddsmakers (hat tip, PTI) with our final renewal chance guesses of the season.

Check back during the week, the status of each show will be updated as we learn the news.

Our final guesses for RENEWAL chances:

Status Tom Shaw The Cancel Bear
Manhattan Love Story canceled
Selfie canceled
Revenge canceled
Forever canceled 5/7 0% 0%
Resurrection canceled 5/7 0% 0%
American Crime renewed 5/7 0% 0%
Galavant renewed 5/7 0% 0%
Cristela canceled 5/7 5% 5%
Agent Carter renewed 5/7 35% 45%
Last Man Standing renewed 5/10 80% 70%
Secrets & Lies renewed 5/7 85% 80%
Castle renewed 5/7 100% 90%
Agents of S.H.I.E.L.D. renewed 5/7 100% 95%
Fresh Off The Boat renewed 5/7 90% 95%
Nashville renewed 5/7 100% 100%
Once Upon A Time renewed 5/7 100% 100%
The Middle renewed 5/7 100% 100%
black-ish renewed 5/7 100% 100%
The Goldbergs renewed 5/7 100% 100%
Grey’s Anatomy renewed 5/7 100% 100%
Scandal renewed 5/7 100% 100%
Modern Family renewed 5/7 100% 100%
How To Get Away With Murder renewed


The Cancel Bear wouldn’t be shocked if Agent Carter were renewed, or Last Man Standing canceled, but missing any of his other ABC predictions would be a shock. He missed only one ABC prediction last season (Suburgatory renewal), maybe he can run the table this season.

As you’ll see in all the Oddsmakers posts, the cancellation bear and Tom Shaw (Bubble Watch) are boringly similar in all but one show’s prediction (it’s an NBC show).

To those who claim “You never make an up or down call!”, please take all of my guesses above 50% as thumbs up, and below 50% as thumbs down with their distance from 50% being my level of confidence.

Better to Follow The Bear, Than Be Chased By Him.

If you want to interact with the bear Twitter is the place to do it, the bear’s no longer bothering with comments in his posts. Tweet him, or follow him below.



How have the Renew / Cancel Index predictions worked out in past seasons? See all the Renew / Cancel Index predicted renewals and cancellations from recent past television seasons.

Posted by:Steve Baron

VP/Digital for TV station ownership group; Dad to young twins, runner, skier & spend a lot of times in airplanes.