Click this link for the latest FOX renewal / cancellation information: [rssinpage rssfeed=’http://feeds.feedburner.com/TvbythenumbersCancel/renewFOXShows’ rssitems=’1′ rssformat=’Y’]
Our Renew / Cancel Index predicts potential renewal or cancellation for scripted broadcast primetime shows by the end of the 2011-12 season in May, 2012. (includes results through December 4, 2011):
|Program||Status||Renew/ Cancel Index|
|Fringe (F)||😐 😐 😐||0.45|
|The Cleveland Show||renewed||0.85|
|Terra Nova||😐 😐 😐||0.91|
|Raising Hope||😐 😐 😐||0.93|
|I Hate My Teenage Daughter||🙂 🙂 🙂 🙂||1.01|
|House||🙂 🙂 🙂 🙂||1.02|
|Bones||🙂 🙂 🙂 🙂||1.03|
Commenters predicting early doom for Fox’s new sitcom I Hate My Teenaged Daughter were numerous, but as I cautioned after week one of the now defacto canceled Allen Gregory, fans shouldn’t jump to any conclusions based on the premiere ratings alone. A 2.8 adults 18-49 rating is dead on Fox’s scripted show new episode average this season, and shows can drop 10% or a bit more below that and still be reasonably assured of renewal. Wait at least another week before diggging the show’s grave.
- 😳 – certain to be cancelled by May, 2012
- 😥 :cry:- more likely to be cancelled than renewed by May, 2012
- 😐 😐 😐 – toss up between renewal or cancellation by May, 2012
- 🙂 🙂 🙂 🙂 – more likely to be renewed than cancelled by May, 2012
- – certain to be renewed by May, 2012
The Renew/Cancel Index is the ratio of a scripted show’s new episode adults 18-49 ratings relative to the new episode ratings of the other scripted shows on its own network. It’s calculated by dividing a show’s new episode Live+Same Day adults 18-49 average rating by the Live+Same Day new episode average of all the new scripted show episodes on the show’s own network. The network’s average ratings in the calculation are not time weighted (ex. hour long shows are not weighted twice what 30 minute shows are).
(F) -Fridays: Shows airing on Fridays were renewed with significantly lower than average Indexes.
How would the Renew / Cancel Index Have Done Predicting Last Season’s Scripted Show Fates? Check out how the Renew / Cancel Index predicted renewals and cancellations from the 2010-11 broadcast television season.