FOX scripted average through Dec. 6: 1.52
|Show||Status||18-49 rating||Renew/Cancel Index|
|Minority Report (O)||Canceled||0.71||0.47|
|Sleepy Hollow (O)||😦 😦||0.91||0.60|
|The Grinder (O)||😐 😐 😐||0.91||0.60|
|Grandfathered (O)||😐 😐 😐||1.06||0.70|
|Scream Queens (O)||😐 😐 😐||1.08||0.71|
|Bones (O)||😐 😐 😐||1.19||0.78|
|The Last Man on Earth (O)||😐 😐 😐||1.28||0.84|
|Brooklyn Nine-Nine||🙂 🙂 🙂 🙂||1.53||1.01|
|Family Guy (O)||🙂 🙂 🙂 🙂||1.54||1.01|
|Rosewood (O)||🙂 🙂 🙂 🙂||1.63||1.07|
|Gotham||😀 😀 😀 😀 😀||1.51||0.99|
|Empire (O)||😀 😀 😀 😀 😀||4.77||3.14|
|Bob’s Burgers (O)||Renewed||1.1||0.72|
|The Simpsons (O)||Renewed||2.04||1.34|
There are plenty of reasons to believe “Rosewood’s” ratings are a function of its “Empire”-adjacent timeslot. First and foremost is that its ups and downs this season have mirrored that of its lead-out: If “Empire” rises week to week, so does “Rosewood.” If it falls, “Rosewood” falls too.
Come renewal time, however, that’s not likely to matter much. “Rosewood” should get the call for a second season.
FOX has (much) bigger problems to worry about than a show pulling ratings above the network scripted average. “Rosewood” will probably fall some when it runs without “Empire” in early March. But with the likelihood of a winter or spring breakout among FOX’s new shows not very likely — the early word on “Lucifer” and “Second Chance” hasn’t been great — anything short of a catastrophic fall should keep “Rosewood” running for another year.
|DSW||Dead Show Walking: All but officially canceled yet still airing|
|😥||sure bet to be canceled by May 2016|
|😦 😦||likely to be canceled by May 2016|
|😐 😐 😐||tossup between renewal and cancellation by May 2016|
|🙂 🙂 🙂 🙂||likely to be renewed by May 2016|
|😀 😀 😀 😀 😀||sure bet to be renewed by May 2016|
The Renew/Cancel Index is the ratio of a scripted show’s new episode adults 18-49 ratings to the new episode ratings of the other scripted shows on its network. It’s calculated by dividing a show’s new episode live+same-day adults 18-49 average rating by the live+same-day new episode average of all the new scripted show episodes on the show’s own network. Why live+same-day ratings? Because they correlate very closely with the rarely disclosed C3 ratings (viewing of commercials within three days of air), which are the basis for most ad deals.
Shows that have ended their seasons have their R/C Index number frozen at the point of their final episode.
(F) -Fridays: Shows airing on Fridays tend to be renewed with significantly lower than average Indexes.
(O) – Owned: All other things equal, shows owned by studios affiliated with their networks have a better shot at renewal than those from outside producers.