FOX scripted average through Jan. 24: 1.47
|Show||Status||18-49 rating||Renew/Cancel Index|
|Minority Report (O)||Canceled||0.71||0.47|
|Second Chance (O)||😥||1.1||0.75|
|Sleepy Hollow (O)||😦 😦||0.91||0.62|
|Bordertown (O)||😦 😦||1.27||0.86|
|Cooper Barrett’s Guide to Surviving Life (O)||😦 😦||1.5||1.02|
|The Grinder (O)||😐 😐 😐||0.89||0.61|
|Grandfathered (O)||😐 😐 😐||1.03||0.70|
|Bones (O)||😐 😐 😐||1.14||0.78|
|The Last Man on Earth (O)||😐 😐 😐||1.28||0.87|
|New Girl (O)||🙂 🙂 🙂 🙂||1.4||0.95|
|Brooklyn Nine-Nine||🙂 🙂 🙂 🙂||1.48||1.01|
|Family Guy (O)||🙂 🙂 🙂 🙂||1.6||1.09|
|Rosewood (O)||🙂 🙂 🙂 🙂||1.63||1.11|
|Gotham||😀 😀 😀 😀 😀||1.51||1.03|
|Scream Queens (O)||Renewed||1.06||0.70|
|Bob’s Burgers (O)||Renewed||1.08||0.73|
|The Simpsons (O)||Renewed||2.18||1.48|
The early returns on “Second Chance” have been, how to put this, not good. It debuted to a modest 1.2 rating, losing half its “American Idol” lead-in, and then fell to 1.0 in its second week.
A sound rejection like that almost never bodes well for a show on the Big 4 — and neither does a move to Friday nights, where FOX is putting the show starting this week. So it is that “Second Chance” is an all but certain cancellation. The show is at the moment lower than any FOX drama this season save the already canceled “Minority Report” and “Sleepy Hollow,” which is being shunted off to Fridays in a few weeks.
It’s been a bad season for FOX’s new shows — “Scream Queens” is renewed, and “Rosewood” seems likely to get a second season. After that … yikes.
One other FOX note: The Bear won’t be tracking “The X-Files” revival, both because it’s a miniseries (not that those labels mean much anymore) and because its future rests at least as much on the availability and desire of David Duchovny and Gillian Anderson to do more than its ratings.
|DSW||Dead Show Walking: All but officially canceled yet still airing|
|😥||sure bet to be canceled by May 2016|
|😦 😦||likely to be canceled by May 2016|
|😐 😐 😐||tossup between renewal and cancellation by May 2016|
|🙂 🙂 🙂 🙂||likely to be renewed by May 2016|
|😀 😀 😀 😀 😀||sure bet to be renewed by May 2016|
The Renew/Cancel Index is the ratio of a scripted show’s new episode adults 18-49 ratings to the new episode ratings of the other scripted shows on its network. It’s calculated by dividing a show’s new episode live+same-day adults 18-49 average rating by the live+same-day new episode average of all the new scripted show episodes on the show’s own network. Why live+same-day ratings? Because they correlate very closely with the rarely disclosed C3 ratings (viewing of commercials within three days of air), which are the basis for most ad deals.
Shows that have ended their seasons have their R/C Index number frozen at the point of their final episode.
(F) -Fridays: Shows airing on Fridays tend to be renewed with significantly lower than average Indexes.
(O) – Owned: All other things equal, shows owned by studios affiliated with their networks have a better shot at renewal than those from outside producers.