FOX’s renew/cancel standings for week 23 of the 2015-16 season, featuring a show that advanced by standing still:
FOX scripted average through Feb. 28: 1.42
|Show||Status||18-49 rating||Renew/Cancel Index|
|Minority Report (O)||Canceled||0.71||0.47|
|Second Chance (O)||😥||0.73||0.51|
|The Grinder (O)||😦 😦||0.81||0.57|
|Sleepy Hollow (O)||😦 😦||0.88||0.62|
|Bordertown (O)||😦 😦||1.04||0.73|
|Cooper Barrett’s Guide to Surviving Life (O)||😦 😦||1.22||0.86|
|Grandfathered (O)||😐 😐 😐||0.99||0.70|
|The Last Man on Earth (O)||😐 😐 😐||1.28||0.90|
|New Girl (O)||🙂 🙂 🙂 🙂||1.33||0.94|
|Brooklyn Nine-Nine||🙂 🙂 🙂 🙂||1.33||0.94|
|Family Guy (O)||🙂 🙂 🙂 🙂||1.55||1.09|
|Rosewood (O)||🙂 🙂 🙂 🙂||1.63||1.15|
|Lucifer||🙂 🙂 🙂 🙂||1.84||1.30|
|Gotham||😀 😀 😀 😀 😀||1.51||1.06|
|Scream Queens (O)||Renewed||1.06||0.70|
|Bob’s Burgers (O)||Renewed||1.08||0.76|
|The Simpsons (O)||Renewed||2.06||1.45|
“The Last Man on Earth” is still a tossup for renewal at this point, but thanks to some of its network brethren, it’s edging closer to renewal. Not bad for a show that hasn’t been on the air since mid-December.
In that time off, FOX has seen Sunday comedies “Cooper Barrett’s Guide to Surviving Life” and “Bordertown” fail to get much of a launch and its Tuesday block suffer a bit. “The Simpsons” and “Bob’s Burgers” are already renewed, and “Family Guy” is likely to return as well. In a network landscape where it would be exceedingly hard to launch two new shows on Sunday night (see, um, “Cooper Barrett” and “Bordertown”), the extra continuity “Last Man” would provide is nice.
For now, the show is still a tossup. If it’s stable in its return, look for it to get bumped up fairly soon.
|DSW||Dead Show Walking: All but officially canceled yet still airing|
|😥||sure bet to be canceled by May 2016|
|😦 😦||likely to be canceled by May 2016|
|😐 😐 😐||tossup between renewal and cancellation by May 2016|
|🙂 🙂 🙂 🙂||likely to be renewed by May 2016|
|😀 😀 😀 😀 😀||sure bet to be renewed by May 2016|
The Renew/Cancel Index is the ratio of a scripted show’s new episode adults 18-49 ratings to the new episode ratings of the other scripted shows on its network. It’s calculated by dividing a show’s new episode live+same-day adults 18-49 average rating by the live+same-day new episode average of all the new scripted show episodes on the show’s own network. Why live+same-day ratings? Because they correlate very closely with the rarely disclosed C3 ratings (viewing of commercials within three days of air), which are the basis for most ad deals.
Shows that have ended their seasons have their R/C Index number frozen at the point of their final episode.
(F) -Fridays: Shows airing on Fridays tend to be renewed with significantly lower than average Indexes.
(O) – Owned: All other things equal, shows owned by studios affiliated with their networks have a better shot at renewal than those from outside producers.