FOX’s renew/cancel standings for week 25 of the 2015-16 season makes a long-running staple of the network a lock for renewal.
FOX scripted average through March 13: 1.38
|Show||Status||18-49 rating||Renew/Cancel Index|
|Minority Report (O)||Canceled||0.71||0.47|
|Second Chance (O)||😥||0.68||0.49|
|The Grinder (O)||😦 😦||0.8||0.58|
|Sleepy Hollow (O)||😦 😦||0.86||0.62|
|Bordertown (O)||😦 😦||1.0||0.72|
|Cooper Barrett’s Guide to Surviving Life (O)||😦 😦||1.1||0.80|
|Grandfathered (O)||😐 😐 😐||0.97||0.70|
|The Last Man on Earth (O)||🙂 🙂 🙂 🙂||1.25||0.91|
|New Girl (O)||🙂 🙂 🙂 🙂||1.3||0.94|
|Brooklyn Nine-Nine||🙂 🙂 🙂 🙂||1.3||0.94|
|Rosewood (O)||🙂 🙂 🙂 🙂||1.56||1.13|
|Lucifer||🙂 🙂 🙂 🙂||1.69||1.22|
|Gotham||😀 😀 😀 😀 😀||1.51||1.09|
|Family Guy (O)||😀 😀 😀 😀 😀||1.53||1.11|
|Scream Queens (O)||Renewed||1.06||0.70|
|Bob’s Burgers (O)||Renewed||1.07||0.78|
|The Simpsons (O)||Renewed||1.96||1.42|
When was the last time you heard anyone say, “Oh wow, did you see ‘Family Guy’ last night?” The show’s ability to stir people up may not be what it was, but it’s still getting an audience — which means it will get renewed again.
There’s little reason for FOX to jettison one of the pillars of its Sunday schedule now, especially when the new entrants in 2016 (including “Bordertown,” produced by “Family Guy” impresario Seth MacFarlane) haven’t connected.
Whenever “Family Guy” does go out, FOX and MacFarlane should want to do a pre-announced final lap and reap whatever benefit that might bring.
By the same token, “The Last Man on Earth” gets bumped up to a likely renewal this week. FOX is unlikely to find a much better fit for Sundays.
|DSW||Dead Show Walking: All but officially canceled yet still airing|
|😥||sure bet to be canceled by May 2016|
|😦 😦||likely to be canceled by May 2016|
|😐 😐 😐||tossup between renewal and cancellation by May 2016|
|🙂 🙂 🙂 🙂||likely to be renewed by May 2016|
|😀 😀 😀 😀 😀||sure bet to be renewed by May 2016|
The Renew/Cancel Index is the ratio of a scripted show’s new episode adults 18-49 ratings to the new episode ratings of the other scripted shows on its network. It’s calculated by dividing a show’s new episode live+same-day adults 18-49 average rating by the live+same-day new episode average of all the new scripted show episodes on the show’s own network. Why live+same-day ratings? Because they correlate very closely with the rarely disclosed C3 ratings (viewing of commercials within three days of air), which are the basis for most ad deals.
Shows that have ended their seasons have their R/C Index number frozen at the point of their final episode.
(F) -Fridays: Shows airing on Fridays tend to be renewed with significantly lower than average Indexes.
(O) – Owned: All other things equal, shows owned by studios affiliated with their networks have a better shot at renewal than those from outside producers.