FOX’s renew/cancel standings for week 27 of the 2015-16 season looks at shows on the bubble. For these purposes, “bubble” means any show not yet renewed and not listed below as a sure cancellation.
FOX scripted average through March 27: 1.36
|Show||Status||18-49 rating||Renew/Cancel Index|
|Minority Report (O)||Canceled||0.71||0.47|
|Second Chance (O)||😥||0.65||0.48|
|The Grinder (O)||😦 😦||0.79||0.58|
|Sleepy Hollow (O)||😦 😦||0.84||0.62|
|Bordertown (O)||😦 😦||1.0||0.74|
|Cooper Barrett’s Guide to Surviving Life (O)||😦 😦||1.1||0.81|
|Grandfathered (O)||😐 😐 😐||0.97||0.71|
|New Girl (O)||🙂 🙂 🙂 🙂||1.25||0.92|
|Rosewood (O)||🙂 🙂 🙂 🙂||1.43||1.05|
|Lucifer||🙂 🙂 🙂 🙂||1.58||1.16|
|Family Guy (O)||😀 😀 😀 😀 😀||1.53||1.13|
|Scream Queens (O)||Renewed||1.06||0.70|
|Bob’s Burgers (O)||Renewed||1.07||0.79|
|The Last Man on Earth (O)||Renewed||1.25||0.92|
|The Simpsons (O)||Renewed||1.96||1.44|
Between a bubble and a hard place: “The Grinder.” As noted before, “The Grinder” is the lowest-rated of FOX’s generally low-rated Tuesday comedy block. It’s hard to see a scenario in which it comes back, unless the network just throws up its hands and embraces CW-level numbers for the night.
Bubbling along nicely: “New Girl.” FOX’s flagship Tuesday comedy should be safe to get at least one more season.
Still sweating it: “Bordertown,” “Cooper Barrett’s Guide to Surviving Life,” “Sleepy Hollow,” “Grandfathered”
On the safer side: “Family Guy,” “Lucifer,” “Rosewood”
|DSW||Dead Show Walking: All but officially canceled yet still airing|
|😥||sure bet to be canceled by May 2016|
|😦 😦||likely to be canceled by May 2016|
|😐 😐 😐||tossup between renewal and cancellation by May 2016|
|🙂 🙂 🙂 🙂||likely to be renewed by May 2016|
|😀 😀 😀 😀 😀||sure bet to be renewed by May 2016|
The Renew/Cancel Index is the ratio of a scripted show’s new episode adults 18-49 ratings to the new episode ratings of the other scripted shows on its network. It’s calculated by dividing a show’s new episode live+same-day adults 18-49 average rating by the live+same-day new episode average of all the new scripted show episodes on the show’s own network. Why live+same-day ratings? Because they correlate very closely with the rarely disclosed C3 ratings (viewing of commercials within three days of air), which are the basis for most ad deals.
Shows that have ended their seasons have their R/C Index number frozen at the point of their final episode.
(F) -Fridays: Shows airing on Fridays tend to be renewed with significantly lower than average Indexes.
(O) – Owned: All other things equal, shows owned by studios affiliated with their networks have a better shot at renewal than those from outside producers.