FOX network scripted average through Oct. 11: 1.72
|Program||Status||18-49 rating||Renew/Cancel Index|
|Minority Report (O)||😥||0.9||0.52|
|Sleepy Hollow (O)||😦 😦||1.0||0.58|
|The Grinder (O)||😦 😦||1.25||0.73|
|Bones (O)||😐 😐 😐||1.35||0.78|
|Grandfathered (O)||😐 😐 😐||1.35||0.78|
|The Last Man on Earth (O)||😐 😐 😐||1.37||0.8|
|Scream Queens (O)||🙂 🙂 🙂 🙂||1.43||0.83|
|Family Guy (O)||🙂 🙂 🙂 🙂||1.53||0.89|
|Gotham||🙂 🙂 🙂 🙂||1.57||0.91|
|Brooklyn Nine-Nine||🙂 🙂 🙂 🙂||1.57||0.91|
|Rosewood (O)||🙂 🙂 🙂 🙂||2.07||1.2|
|Empire (O)||😀 😀 😀 😀 😀||5.77||3.35|
|Bob’s Burgers (O)||Renewed||1.05||0.61|
|The Simpsons (O)||Renewed||1.9||1.1|
As of this writing there hasn’t been an official cancellation in 2015-16. But “Minority Report” is inching ever closer to the end of the line.
News broke late last week that FOX had cut three episodes from the order of the struggling show. To state the obvious, that’s bad news. It seems likely that the network will let “Minority Report” run those 10 episodes, meaning there’s a good chance it won’t be the first series canceled. That, however, just means that the ax won’t swing quite as publicly.
Things are also looking suspect for “The Grinder,” which took a sizable hit in its second week on the air. “Grandfathered” is doing only slightly better. The only other newbie, “Rosewood,” is doing fine thanks to its proximity to “Empire.”
“Brooklyn Nine-Nine” dipped this week but is still pretty safe thanks to the three-full-seasons rule. The statuses of “Bones” and “Sleepy Hollow” are unchanged.
|😥||sure bet to be canceled by May 2016|
|😦 😦||likely to be canceled by May 2016|
|😐 😐 😐||tossup between renewal and cancellation by May 2016|
|🙂 🙂 🙂 🙂||likely to be renewed by May 2016|
|😀 😀 😀 😀 😀||sure bet to be renewed by May 2016|
The Renew/Cancel Index is the ratio of a scripted show’s new episode adults 18-49 ratings to the new episode ratings of the other scripted shows on its network. It’s calculated by dividing a show’s new episode live+same-day adults 18-49 average rating by the live+same-day new episode average of all the new scripted show episodes on the show’s own network. Why live+same-day ratings? Because they correlate very closely with the rarely disclosed C3 ratings (viewing of commercials within three days of air), which are the basis for most ad deals.
(F) -Fridays: Shows airing on Fridays tend to be renewed with significantly lower than average Indexes.
(O) – Owned: All other things equal, shows owned by studios affiliated with their networks have a better shot at renewal than those from outside producers.
How has the Renew/Cancel Index worked out in past seasons? See all the Renew/Cancel Index predicted renewals and cancellations from recent television seasons.