scream-queens-renew-cancel-wk-4

FOX scripted average through Oct. 18: 1.63

Show Status 18-49 rating Renew/Cancel Index
Minority Report (O) 😥 0.85 0.52
Sleepy Hollow (O) 😦 😦 0.93 0.57
The Grinder (O) 😦 😦 1.13 0.69
Grandfathered (O) 😐 😐 😐 1.23 0.75
Bones (O) 😐 😐 😐 1.27 0.78
The Last Man on Earth (O) 😐 😐 😐 1.28 0.79
Scream Queens (O) 🙂 🙂 🙂 🙂 1.33 0.82
Brooklyn Nine-Nine 🙂 🙂 🙂 🙂 1.48 0.91
Family Guy (O) 🙂 🙂 🙂 🙂 1.53 0.94
Gotham 🙂 🙂 🙂 🙂 1.55 0.95
Rosewood (O) 🙂 🙂 🙂 🙂 1.9 1.17
Empire (O) 😀 😀 😀 😀 😀 5.5 3.37
Bob’s Burgers (O) Renewed 1.03 0.63
The Simpsons (O) Renewed 1.85 1.13

 

The four-week trend line in adults 18-49 for “Scream Queens” looks like this: 1.7, 1.4, 1.2, 1.0. So why is it a safe bet for renewal?

Because FOX is going to have bigger problems elsewhere on the schedule. “Scream Queens” sits in the middle of the network’s ratings pack — in fact, factoring out “Empire’s” outsize numbers, and “SQ” is right on the average of FOX’s other scripted series. It’s also one of the network’s youngest-skewing shows. Add in the network’s long-running relationship with Ryan Murphy and you’ve got a likely renewal.

Of note last week, “Rosewood” got a full-season order from FOX. That wasn’t a surprise, however, so its status remains unchanged.

Key:

😥 sure bet to be canceled by May 2016
😦 😦 likely to be canceled by May 2016
😐 😐 😐 tossup between renewal and cancellation by May 2016
🙂 🙂 🙂 🙂 likely to be renewed by May 2016
😀 😀 😀 😀 😀 sure bet to be renewed by May 2016


The Renew/Cancel Index is the ratio of a scripted show’s new episode adults 18-49 ratings to the new episode ratings of the other scripted shows on its network. It’s calculated by dividing a show’s new episode live+same-day adults 18-49 average rating by the live+same-day new episode average of all the new scripted show episodes on the show’s own network. Why live+same-day ratings? Because they correlate very closely with the rarely disclosed C3 ratings (viewing of commercials within three days of air), which are the basis for most ad deals.

(F) -Fridays: Shows airing on Fridays tend to be renewed with significantly lower than average Indexes.

(O) – Owned: All other things equal, shows owned by studios affiliated with their networks have a better shot at renewal than those from outside producers.

How has the Renew/Cancel Index worked out in past seasons? See all the Renew/Cancel Index predicted renewals and cancellations from recent television seasons.

Posted by:The Cancel Bear

The Cancel Bear is a bear who tracks and devours low-rated TV shows.

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