FOX scripted average through Nov. 1: 1.63
|Show||Status||18-49 rating||Renew/Cancel Index|
|Minority Report (O)||DSW||0.77||0.47|
|Sleepy Hollow (O)||😦 😦||0.94||0.58|
|The Grinder (O)||😐 😐 😐||1.08||0.66|
|Grandfathered (O)||😐 😐 😐||1.18||0.72|
|Bones (O)||😐 😐 😐||1.26||0.77|
|The Last Man on Earth (O)||😐 😐 😐||1.32||0.81|
|Scream Queens (O)||🙂 🙂 🙂 🙂||1.26||0.77|
|Gotham||🙂 🙂 🙂 🙂||1.5||0.92|
|Brooklyn Nine-Nine||🙂 🙂 🙂 🙂||1.58||0.97|
|Family Guy (O)||🙂 🙂 🙂 🙂||1.6||0.98|
|Rosewood (O)||🙂 🙂 🙂 🙂||1.84||1.13|
|Empire (O)||😀 😀 😀 😀 😀||5.36||3.29|
|Bob’s Burgers (O)||Renewed||1.03||0.63|
|The Simpsons (O)||Renewed||2.04||1.25|
Most of FOX’s shows had the week off thanks to the World Series, so there’s no real change in the standings — except for one thing, but more on that momentarily.
One of the few shows that did air a new episode, “Bones,” had its highest rating since the season premiere, albeit only a 1.3 in adults 18-49. It’s currently rated as a tossup, because this could easily be its last season, as hinted by FOX executives earlier in the year, or it could go on for at least one more, since it’s hardly the biggest problem FOX has.
The odds right now may tilt ever so slightly toward the show’s ending: David Boreanaz has said he’s about ready to put Seeley Booth aside (which, to be fair, he’s also said several times in past seasons), and both he and Emily Deschanel are on one-year deals. “Bones” is already the longest-running drama in FOX’s history, so it certainly has done its job. But we’ve heard that before, and “Bones” is still here.
Now, about that new thing: The Renew/Cancel Index had added a new category, Dead Show Walking. It’s for shows, like “Minority Report,” that have had their orders cut and are merely playing out the string until they’re swept off the air. You’ll see it represented by the initials “DSW” in the index.
|DSW||Dead Show Walking: All but officially canceled yet still airing|
|😥||sure bet to be canceled by May 2016|
|😦 😦||likely to be canceled by May 2016|
|😐 😐 😐||tossup between renewal and cancellation by May 2016|
|🙂 🙂 🙂 🙂||likely to be renewed by May 2016|
|😀 😀 😀 😀 😀||sure bet to be renewed by May 2016|
The Renew/Cancel Index is the ratio of a scripted show’s new episode adults 18-49 ratings to the new episode ratings of the other scripted shows on its network. It’s calculated by dividing a show’s new episode live+same-day adults 18-49 average rating by the live+same-day new episode average of all the new scripted show episodes on the show’s own network. Why live+same-day ratings? Because they correlate very closely with the rarely disclosed C3 ratings (viewing of commercials within three days of air), which are the basis for most ad deals.
(F) -Fridays: Shows airing on Fridays tend to be renewed with significantly lower than average Indexes.
(O) – Owned: All other things equal, shows owned by studios affiliated with their networks have a better shot at renewal than those from outside producers.
How has the Renew/Cancel Index worked out in past seasons? See all the Renew/Cancel Index predicted renewals and cancellations from recent television seasons.