FOX scripted average through Nov. 8: 1.58
|Show||Status||18-49 rating||Renew/Cancel Index|
|Minority Report (O)||DSW||0.74||0.47|
|Sleepy Hollow (O)||😦 😦||0.93||0.59|
|The Grinder (O)||😐 😐 😐||1.02||0.65|
|Grandfathered (O)||😐 😐 😐||1.14||0.72|
|Bones (O)||😐 😐 😐||1.23||0.78|
|The Last Man on Earth (O)||😐 😐 😐||1.27||0.80|
|Scream Queens (O)||🙂 🙂 🙂 🙂||1.22||0.77|
|Gotham||🙂 🙂 🙂 🙂||1.51||0.96|
|Brooklyn Nine-Nine||🙂 🙂 🙂 🙂||1.52||0.96|
|Family Guy (O)||🙂 🙂 🙂 🙂||1.52||0.96|
|Rosewood (O)||🙂 🙂 🙂 🙂||1.78||1.13|
|Empire (O)||😀 😀 😀 😀 😀||5.23||3.31|
|Bob’s Burgers (O)||Renewed||1.13||0.72|
|The Simpsons (O)||Renewed||1.95||1.23|
“The Last Man on Earth” doesn’t seem like a show that should be in much danger — until you really look at the numbers.
It’s a 20th Century Fox-produced show, after all, and one that seems to have found its creative footing after some missteps last season. But its ratings are uninspiring.
Ratings for episodes that don’t have an NFL halo have been weak so far this fall, with none of them rising above a 1.2. It’s still doing better than FOX’s new comedies “Grandfathered” and “The Grinder,” but given the show’s off-kilter tone, it’s also hard to see it anywhere but Sunday nights. Unless there’s real movement one way or another in the coming weeks, “Last Man” will remain in tossup limbo for a while.
|DSW||Dead Show Walking: All but officially canceled yet still airing|
|😥||sure bet to be canceled by May 2016|
|😦 😦||likely to be canceled by May 2016|
|😐 😐 😐||tossup between renewal and cancellation by May 2016|
|🙂 🙂 🙂 🙂||likely to be renewed by May 2016|
|😀 😀 😀 😀 😀||sure bet to be renewed by May 2016|
The Renew/Cancel Index is the ratio of a scripted show’s new episode adults 18-49 ratings to the new episode ratings of the other scripted shows on its network. It’s calculated by dividing a show’s new episode live+same-day adults 18-49 average rating by the live+same-day new episode average of all the new scripted show episodes on the show’s own network. Why live+same-day ratings? Because they correlate very closely with the rarely disclosed C3 ratings (viewing of commercials within three days of air), which are the basis for most ad deals.
(F) -Fridays: Shows airing on Fridays tend to be renewed with significantly lower than average Indexes.
(O) – Owned: All other things equal, shows owned by studios affiliated with their networks have a better shot at renewal than those from outside producers.
How has the Renew/Cancel Index worked out in past seasons? See all the Renew/Cancel Index predicted renewals and cancellations from recent television seasons.