FOX scripted average through Nov. 22: 1.55
|Show||Status||18-49 rating||Renew/Cancel Index|
|Minority Report (O)||DSW||0.74||0.48|
|Sleepy Hollow (O)||😦 😦||0.91||0.59|
|The Grinder (O)||😐 😐 😐||0.97||0.63|
|Grandfathered (O)||😐 😐 😐||1.1||0.71|
|Scream Queens (O)||😐 😐 😐||1.14||0.74|
|Bones (O)||😐 😐 😐||1.19||0.77|
|The Last Man on Earth (O)||😐 😐 😐||1.26||0.81|
|Brooklyn Nine-Nine||🙂 🙂 🙂 🙂||1.51||0.97|
|Family Guy (O)||🙂 🙂 🙂 🙂||1.51||0.97|
|Rosewood (O)||🙂 🙂 🙂 🙂||1.7||1.10|
|Gotham||😀 😀 😀 😀 😀||1.51||0.97|
|Empire (O)||😀 😀 😀 😀 😀||5.0||3.23|
|Bob’s Burgers (O)||Renewed||1.1||0.71|
|The Simpsons (O)||Renewed||2.0||1.29|
For a good while this fall, the Bear had “Scream Queens” as a likely renewal, even as its ratings trended downward. The show skewed young, it was a potential anthology franchise and it came from Ryan Murphy, someone with whom FOX would probably want to keep doing business.
But two straight weeks of sub-1.0 ratings are hard to ignore, so it’s downgraded to a tossup. The show has four episodes remaining, including a two-hour finale on Dec. 8, either to rally from those lows or show that they weren’t an aberration after all.
FOX, naturally, is hoping for the former. Right now, it’s too close to call.
|DSW||Dead Show Walking: All but officially canceled yet still airing|
|😥||sure bet to be canceled by May 2016|
|😦 😦||likely to be canceled by May 2016|
|😐 😐 😐||tossup between renewal and cancellation by May 2016|
|🙂 🙂 🙂 🙂||likely to be renewed by May 2016|
|😀 😀 😀 😀 😀||sure bet to be renewed by May 2016|
The Renew/Cancel Index is the ratio of a scripted show’s new episode adults 18-49 ratings to the new episode ratings of the other scripted shows on its network. It’s calculated by dividing a show’s new episode live+same-day adults 18-49 average rating by the live+same-day new episode average of all the new scripted show episodes on the show’s own network. Why live+same-day ratings? Because they correlate very closely with the rarely disclosed C3 ratings (viewing of commercials within three days of air), which are the basis for most ad deals.
(F) -Fridays: Shows airing on Fridays tend to be renewed with significantly lower than average Indexes.
(O) – Owned: All other things equal, shows owned by studios affiliated with their networks have a better shot at renewal than those from outside producers.