Click this link for the latest NBC renewal / cancellation information: [rssinpage rssfeed=’http://feeds.feedburner.com/TvbythenumbersCancel/renewNbcShows’ rssitems=’1′ rssformat=’Y’]
Our Renew / Cancel Index predicts potential renewal or cancellation for scripted broadcast primetime shows by the end of the 2011-12 season in May, 2012. (includes results from January 2-22, 2012):
|Program||Status||Renew/ Cancel Index|
|Free Agents *||canceled||0.66|
|The Playboy Club *||canceled||0.67|
|Community *||🙂 🙂 🙂 🙂 **||0.87|
|Chuck (F)||final season||0.60|
|Parks & Recreation||1.18|
|Law & Order: SVU||1.18|
|Up All Night||1.21|
|Are You There, Chelsea?||1.24|
I try and restrain myself from making ratings predictions, as well as predictions of show’s fates before any ratings are in, because I’m no better than the rest of the TV media at them. Those with memories better than mine will point out that before the season began I thought the first victim of the cancellation bear would be NBC’s Grimm. Talk about a swing and a miss. Last week its 1.8 rating on Friday was tied with Law & Order: SVU as NBC’s best drama rating for the week. While that says a lot about the overall ratings woe on NBC, it’s good news for Grimm. At current relative ratings levels, it’s certain to be renewed.
The Firm ratings mark it for certain cancellation. The only question is when NBC yanks it from its schedule.
I await the commenter howling about my current predictions for Are You There, Chelsea? and Whitney. Their 1.7 and 1.6 ratings last week were woeful by almost anybody’s standards, but not NBC’s. By NBC scripted show standards last week they were average. Ignoring Prime Suspect on Sunday, NBC’s scripted show adults 18-49 ratings average last week was a 1.68. Of course, all predictions are subject to change based on future ratings results, but at current course and speed those two shows are coming back. The howling may commence!
The Renew / Cancel Index above includes results beginning January 2, 2012. How did NBC’s shows stack up based on their Fall results? Click here.
*shows no longer on the air have their Renew/Cancel Index “frozen” at the point they left the schedule, and are grouped at the top of the table.
** shows that have not yet aired new episodes in 2012 have their Fall 2011 predictions listed instead.
- 😳 – certain to be cancelled by May, 2012
- 😥 :cry:- more likely to be cancelled than renewed by May, 2012
- 😐 😐 😐 – toss up between renewal or cancellation by May, 2012
- 🙂 🙂 🙂 🙂 – more likely to be renewed than cancelled by May, 2012
- – certain to be renewed by May, 2012
The Renew/Cancel Index is the ratio of a scripted show’s new episode adults 18-49 ratings relative to the new episode ratings of the other scripted shows on its own network. It’s calculated by dividing a show’s new episode Live+Same Day adults 18-49 average rating by the Live+Same Day new episode average of all the new scripted show episodes on the show’s own network. The network’s average ratings in the calculation are not time weighted (ex. hour long shows are not weighted twice what 30 minute shows are).
(F) -Fridays: Shows airing on Fridays were renewed with significantly lower than average Indexes.
How would the Renew / Cancel Index Have Done Predicting Last Season’s Scripted Show Fates? Check out how the Renew / Cancel Index predicted renewals and cancellations from the 2010-11 broadcast television season.