Click this link for the latest NBC renewal / cancellation information: [rssinpage rssfeed=’http://feeds.feedburner.com/TvbythenumbersCancel/renewNbcShows’ rssitems=’1′ rssformat=’Y’]
Our Renew / Cancel Index predicts potential renewal or cancellation for scripted broadcast primetime shows by the end of the 2014-15 season in May, 2015. (includes results from December 29, 2014 – February 1, 2015):
|Program||Status||Renew/ Cancel Index|
|A to Z*||canceled||0.52|
|About A Boy||😳||0.76|
|State of Affairs||😳||0.86|
|The Mysteries of Laura||😐 😐 😐||1.04|
|Parks & Recreation||final season||1.30|
|Parenthood*||final season complete||1.30|
|Law & Order: SVU||1.33|
Many have wondered why the cancellation bear still has The Mysteries Of Laura as a “toss up” when it drew just a 1.0 rating in its last episode.
Given that Laura hadn’t drawn less than a 1.2 rating previously, and was above average compared to all NBC scripted shows in the Fall, the bear figures he can hold it at a “toss up” until he sees a few episodes of the NBC spring rookie drama ratings.
After that, the bear promises to change his prediction for The Mysteries of Laura.
Why isn’t there an Index number for The Blacklist, didn’t it air after the Super Bowl? The bear excludes post NFL playoff episodes from his calculations, since they do nothing to assist his predictions.
How can Constantine be canceled, random people on the internet/the producers/Warner Brothers/some guy holding a sign on the corner say it’s still very much alive? Read this.
Here are some notes from Bubble Watch’s Tom Shaw:Nothing new from Tom this week.
Better to Follow The Bear, Than Be Chased By Him. You can follow the Cancellation Bear on Twitter via @TheCancelBear. If you want to interact with the bear, Twitter, not these post’s comments, is the place to do that. It’s more fun for the bear and reaches far more people. While this post will likely be viewed many tens of thousands of times, the commenting audience is a tiny fraction of that (a few hundred comments is typical). Tens of thousands of fans follow the bear on Twitter.
*shows no longer on the air have their Renew/Cancel Index “frozen” at the point they left the schedule.
|😳||certain to be cancelled by May, 2015|
|😥 😥||more likely to be cancelled than renewed by May, 2015|
|😐 😐 😐||toss up between renewal or cancellation by May, 2015|
|🙂 🙂 🙂 🙂||more likely to be renewed than cancelled by May, 2015|
|certain to be renewed by May, 2015|
The Renew/Cancel Index is the ratio of a scripted show’s new episode adults 18-49 ratings relative to the new episode ratings of the other scripted shows on its own network. It’s calculated by dividing a show’s new episode Live+Same Day adults 18-49 average rating by the Live+Same Day new episode average of all the new scripted show episodes on the show’s own network. The network’s average ratings in the calculation are not time weighted (ex. hour long shows are not weighted twice what 30 minute shows are).
(F) -Fridays: Shows airing on Fridays were renewed with significantly lower than average Indexes.
How have the Renew / Cancel Index Worked Out In Past Seasons? See all the Renew / Cancel Index predicted renewals and cancellations from recent past television seasons.