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Our Renew / Cancel Index predicts potential renewal or cancellation for scripted broadcast primetime shows by the end of the 2014-15 season in May, 2015. (includes results from December 29, 2014 – February 22, 2015):
|Program||Status||Renew/ Cancel Index|
|A to Z*||canceled||0.52|
|About A Boy||😳||0.73|
|State of Affairs*||😳||0.87|
|The Mysteries of Laura||😐 😐 😐||0.95|
|Parks & Recreation||final season||1.14|
|Law & Order: SVU||renewed||1.27|
|Parenthood*||final season complete||1.30|
The Night Shift premiered last night, too late for the cancellation bear to include it in this week’s post, but he promises it for next week.
In the meantime, instead of headlining The Mysteries of Laura yet again while the bear keeps it as a “toss up”, he figured he’d go with a poll.
Given that The Slap is an eight episode “mini-series”, and won’t be renewed for next season no matter what (unlike “limited series” which certainly can be), the bear’s not making any prediction for it.
However, after just a 0.8 rating in episode two, there’s at least some chance that all 8 episodes don’t air Thursday at 8pm as scheduled.
There’s no way for the bear to make an accurate guess, but you need not constrain yourself.
How can Constantine be canceled, random people on the internet/the producers/Warner Brothers/some guy holding a sign on the corner say it’s still very much alive? Read this.
Better to Follow The Bear, Than Be Chased By Him. You can follow the Cancellation Bear on Twitter via @TheCancelBear. If you want to interact with the bear, Twitter, not these post’s comments, is the place to do that. It’s more fun for the bear and reaches far more people. While this post will likely be viewed many tens of thousands of times, the commenting audience is a tiny fraction of that (a few hundred comments is typical). Tens of thousands of fans follow the bear on Twitter.
*shows no longer on the air have their Renew/Cancel Index “frozen” at the point they left the schedule.
|😳||certain to be cancelled by May, 2015|
|😥 😥||more likely to be cancelled than renewed by May, 2015|
|😐 😐 😐||toss up between renewal or cancellation by May, 2015|
|🙂 🙂 🙂 🙂||more likely to be renewed than cancelled by May, 2015|
|certain to be renewed by May, 2015|
The Renew/Cancel Index is the ratio of a scripted show’s new episode adults 18-49 ratings relative to the new episode ratings of the other scripted shows on its own network. It’s calculated by dividing a show’s new episode Live+Same Day adults 18-49 average rating by the Live+Same Day new episode average of all the new scripted show episodes on the show’s own network. The network’s average ratings in the calculation are not time weighted (ex. hour long shows are not weighted twice what 30 minute shows are).
(F) -Fridays: Shows airing on Fridays were renewed with significantly lower than average Indexes.
How have the Renew / Cancel Index Worked Out In Past Seasons? See all the Renew / Cancel Index predicted renewals and cancellations from recent past television seasons.