Click this link for the latest NBC renewal / cancellation information: [rssinpage rssfeed=’http://feeds.feedburner.com/TvbythenumbersCancel/renewNbcShows’ rssitems=’1′ rssformat=’Y’]
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Our Renew / Cancel Index predicts potential renewal or cancellation for scripted broadcast primetime shows by the end of the 2014-15 season in May, 2015.ย (includes results from December 29, 2014 – April 26, 2015):

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Program Status Renew/ Cancel Index
A to Z* canceled 0.52
American Odyssey ๐Ÿ˜ณ 0.59
The Slap* mini-series 0.63
Bad Judge* canceled 0.67
Marry Me* ๐Ÿ˜ณ 0.67
About A Boy* ๐Ÿ˜ณ 0.72
Constantine* (F) canceled 0.72
Allegiance* canceled 0.73
State of Affairs* ๐Ÿ˜ณ 0.87
The Mysteries of Laura ๐Ÿ˜ฅ ๐Ÿ˜ฅ 0.88
Grimm (F) renewed 0.92
One Big Happy ๐Ÿ˜ฅ ๐Ÿ˜ฅ 1.00
The Night Shift ๐Ÿ™‚ ๐Ÿ™‚ ๐Ÿ™‚ ๐Ÿ™‚ 1.11
Parks & Recreation* final season complete 1.17
Law & Order: SVU renewed 1.22
Chicago P.D. renewed 1.26
Undateable ๐Ÿ™‚ ๐Ÿ™‚ ๐Ÿ™‚ ๐Ÿ™‚ 1.26
AD: The Bible Continues ๐Ÿ˜ฅ ๐Ÿ˜ฅ 1.29
Parenthood* final season complete 1.30
Chicago Fire renewed 1.39
The Blacklist renewed 1.48


The last week for the cancellation bear’s regular predictions has him sorting out a few marginal calls.

The late season drift down of The Mysteries Of Lauraย relative ratings has the bear moving his prediction for the show to “likely canceled”.

After great (for NBC) early ratings, AD: The Bible Continues ratings tanked post-Easter. Because of that, the bear doesn’t think it returns.

The Night Shift’s ratings haven’t been great, but they’re still above the NBC scripted average. The retentionistas will cry foul, but the bear’s moving his prediction for it to “likely renewed”.

Next week: Final % renewal guesses from the bear and @TVTomShaw.

Past weeks:

How canย Constantine be canceled, random people on the internet/the producers/Warner Brothers/some guy holding a sign on the corner say it’s still very much alive? Read this.

Better to Follow The Bear, Than Be Chased By Him.

If you want to interact with the bear, Twitter, not these post’s comments, is the placeย to do it. It’s more fun for the bear and reaches far more people. Just click here !function(d,s,id){var js,fjs=d.getElementsByTagName(s)[0],p=/^http:/.test(d.location)?’http’:’https’;if(!d.getElementById(id)){js=d.createElement(s);js.id=id;js.src=p+’://platform.twitter.com/widgets.js’;fjs.parentNode.insertBefore(js,fjs);}}(document, ‘script’, ‘twitter-wjs’);

*shows no longer on the air have their Renew/Cancel Index “frozen” at the point they left the schedule.

Notes:

๐Ÿ˜ณ certain to be cancelled by May, 2015
๐Ÿ˜ฅ ๐Ÿ˜ฅ more likely to be cancelled than renewed by May, 2015
๐Ÿ˜ ๐Ÿ˜ ๐Ÿ˜ toss up between renewal or cancellation by May, 2015
๐Ÿ™‚ ๐Ÿ™‚ ๐Ÿ™‚ ๐Ÿ™‚ more likely to be renewed than cancelled by May, 2015
:mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: certain to be renewed by May, 2015


Theย Renew/Cancel Indexย is the ratio of a scripted show’s new episode adults 18-49 ratings relative to the new episode ratings of the other scripted shows on its own network. It’s calculated by dividing a show’s new episode Live+Same Day adults 18-49 average rating by the Live+Same Day new episode average of all the new scripted show episodes on the show’s own network. The network’s average ratings in the calculation are not time weighted (ex. hour long shows are not weighted twice what 30 minute shows are).

(F) -Fridays: Shows airing on Fridays were renewed with significantly lower than average Indexes.

How have the Renew / Cancel Index Worked Out In Past Seasons?ย See all the Renew / Cancel Indexย predicted renewals and cancellations from recent past television seasons.

Posted by:Steve Baron

VP/Digital for TV station ownership group; Dad to young twins, runner, skier & spend a lot of times in airplanes.

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