NBC network scripted average through Sept. 27 (one week): 1.86
|Program||Status||18-49 rating||Renew/Cancel Index|
|The Player||😦 😦||1.2||0.65|
|The Mysteries of Laura||😦 😦||1.2||0.65|
|Law & Order: SVU (O)||😐 😐 😐||1.8||0.97|
|Heroes Reborn (O)||😐 😐 😐||2.0||1.08|
|Blindspot||🙂 🙂 🙂 🙂||3.1||1.67|
|The Blacklist||🙂 🙂 🙂 🙂||n/a||n/a|
|Chicago PD (O)||😀 😀 😀 😀 😀||n/a||n/a|
The first week of the season wasn’t especially kind to a lot of new shows, but “Blindspot” was a notable exception.
The show scored the highest 18-49 rating of any new scripted series last week, and on Monday received an order for nine more scripts (though not an official full-season pickup). It’s a bright spot in a rather bleak broadcast landscape so far.
The only thing keeping it from certain-renewal status, in fact, is the small sample size. NBC only aired five scripted shows last week, thanks in part to two-hour premieres of “Law & Order: SVU” and “Heroes Reborn.”
At the other end of the spectrum are “The Player” and “The Mysteries of Laura.” Each scored a 1.2 in adults 18-49, which is, uh, not a great place to start.
Better to follow the Bear than be chased by him. You can follow the Cancellation Bear on Twitter via @TheCancelBear. If you want to interact with the bear, Twitter, not these post’s comments, is the place to do that. It’s more fun for the bear and reaches far more people.
*shows no longer on the air have their Renew/Cancel Index “frozen” at the point they left the schedule.
|😥||sure bet to be canceled by May 2016|
|😦 😦||likely to be canceled by May 2016|
|😐 😐 😐||tossup between renewal and cancellation by May 2016|
|🙂 🙂 🙂 🙂||likely to be renewed by May 2016|
|😀 😀 😀 😀 😀||sure bet to be renewed by May 2016|
The Renew/Cancel Index is the ratio of a scripted show’s new episode adults 18-49 ratings to the new episode ratings of the other scripted shows on its network. It’s calculated by dividing a show’s new episode Live+Same Day adults 18-49 average rating by the Live+Same Day new episode average of all the new scripted show episodes on the show’s own network. Why Live+Same Day ratings? Because they correlate very closely with the rarely disclosed C3 ratings (viewing of commercials within three days of air), which are the basis for most ad deals.
(F) -Fridays: Shows airing on Fridays tend to be renewed with significantly lower than average Indexes.
(O) – Owned: All other things equal, shows owned by studios affiliated with their networks have a better shot at renewal than those from outside producers.
How has the Renew/Cancel Index worked out in past seasons? See all the Renew/Cancel Index predicted renewals and cancellations from recent television seasons.