NBC scripted average through Dec. 13: 1.38
|Show||Status||18-49 rating||Renew/Cancel Index|
|Truth Be Told (F) (O)||DSW||0.63||0.46|
|The Mysteries of Laura||😦 😦||1.11||0.80|
|Telenovela (O)||😦 😦||1.15||0.83|
|Undateable (F)||😐 😐 😐||0.76||0.55|
|Heroes Reborn (O)||😐 😐 😐||1.28||0.93|
|Superstore (O)||😐 😐 😐||1.8||1.30|
|Grimm (F) (O)||🙂 🙂 🙂 🙂||0.94||0.68|
|Law & Order: SVU (O)||🙂 🙂 🙂 🙂||1.63||1.18|
|Chicago Med (O)||😀 😀 😀 😀 😀||2.03||1.47|
|Chicago PD (O)||Renewed||1.5||1.09|
|Chicago Fire (O)||Renewed||1.86||1.35|
Recent history has not been kind to first-year fall shows that receive only a partial back order. “Chicago Med,” however, will be the exception to the rule that less than 22 equals doom.
The show’s five-episode extension is as much a function of its late premiere date (Nov. 17) as anything. It certainly doesn’t have to do with ratings, as “Med” is NBC’s second highest-rated scripted series so far this season (behind only “Blindspot”).
Given that, and NBC’s deep commitment to its Chicago franchise, “Med” is a lock to earn a second season.
The same cannot be said for “Telenovela,” which had a weak opening in its post-“Voice” preview last week. While “Superstore” is rated a tossup for now until more data comes in, it would be a big surprise for “Telenovela” to rise to the point of safety in its regular timeslot come January. Thus it’s rated as a likely cancellation.
|DSW||Dead Show Walking: All but officially canceled yet still airing|
|😥||sure bet to be canceled by May 2016|
|😦 😦||likely to be canceled by May 2016|
|😐 😐 😐||tossup between renewal and cancellation by May 2016|
|🙂 🙂 🙂 🙂||likely to be renewed by May 2016|
|😀 😀 😀 😀 😀||sure bet to be renewed by May 2016|
The Renew/Cancel Index is the ratio of a scripted show’s new episode adults 18-49 ratings to the new episode ratings of the other scripted shows on its network. It’s calculated by dividing a show’s new episode live+same-day adults 18-49 average rating by the live+same-day new episode average of all the new scripted show episodes on the show’s own network. Why live+same-day ratings? Because they correlate very closely with the rarely disclosed C3 ratings (viewing of commercials within three days of air), which are the basis for most ad deals.
Shows that have ended their seasons have their R/C Index number frozen at the point of their final episode.
(F) -Fridays: Shows airing on Fridays tend to be renewed with significantly lower than average Indexes.
(O) – Owned: All other things equal, shows owned by studios affiliated with their networks have a better shot at renewal than those from outside producers.