NBC network scripted average through Oct. 11: 1.53
|Program||Status||18-49 rating||Renew/Cancel Index|
|The Mysteries of Laura||😦 😦||1.17||0.76|
|Undateable (F)||😐 😐 😐||0.8||0.52|
|Heroes Reborn (O)||🙂 🙂 🙂 🙂||1.6||1.05|
|The Blacklist||🙂 🙂 🙂 🙂||1.65||1.08|
|Law & Order: SVU (O)||🙂 🙂 🙂 🙂||1.7||1.11|
|Chicago PD (O)||😀 😀 😀 😀 😀||1.6||1.05|
|Blindspot||😀 😀 😀 😀 😀||2.7||1.76|
“Blindspot” is the first new series of the season to get a back-nine pickup — and it’s also at this point a lock to be back in fall 2016.
The show has been the high point of an otherwise lackluster scripted slate for NBC this fall. The veteran Wednesday shows are doing fine, but newbie “The Player” appears on its way out and “The Mysteries of Laura” is hanging by a thread.
“Undateable” also had a soft start, but its Friday slot buys it at least a little bit more benefit of the doubt. “Heroes Reborn” and “The Blacklist” are also looking OK relative to the rest of the network.
|😥||sure bet to be canceled by May 2016|
|😦 😦||likely to be canceled by May 2016|
|😐 😐 😐||tossup between renewal and cancellation by May 2016|
|🙂 🙂 🙂 🙂||likely to be renewed by May 2016|
|😀 😀 😀 😀 😀||sure bet to be renewed by May 2016|
The Renew/Cancel Index is the ratio of a scripted show’s new episode adults 18-49 ratings to the new episode ratings of the other scripted shows on its network. It’s calculated by dividing a show’s new episode live+same-day adults 18-49 average rating by the live+same-day new episode average of all the new scripted show episodes on the show’s own network. Why live+same-day ratings? Because they correlate very closely with the rarely disclosed C3 ratings (viewing of commercials within three days of air), which are the basis for most ad deals.
(F) -Fridays: Shows airing on Fridays tend to be renewed with significantly lower than average Indexes.
(O) – Owned: All other things equal, shows owned by studios affiliated with their networks have a better shot at renewal than those from outside producers.
How has the Renew/Cancel Index worked out in past seasons? See all the Renew/Cancel Index predicted renewals and cancellations from recent television seasons.