NBC’s renew/cancel standings for week 30 of the 2015-16 season moves a bubble show into the safe zone, which says more about the network as a whole than the show itself.
NBC scripted average through April 17: 1.22
|Show||Status||18-49 rating||Renew/Cancel Index|
|Truth Be Told (F) (O)||Canceled||0.59||0.43|
|Heroes Reborn (O)||Canceled||1.21||0.88|
|You, Me and the Apocalypse||😥||0.69||0.56|
|Telenovela (O)||😦 😦||0.99||0.76|
|Undateable (F)||😦 😦||0.77||0.57|
|Heartbeat (O)||😦 😦||1.07||0.88|
|Game of Silence||😦 😦||1.1||0.90|
|The Mysteries of Laura||🙂 🙂 🙂 🙂||1.12||0.87|
|The Carmichael Show (O)||🙂 🙂 🙂 🙂||1.13||0.93|
|Crowded (O)||😐 😐 😐||1.08||0.89|
|Grimm (F) (O)||Renewed||0.92||0.75|
|Shades of Blue (O)||Renewed||1.17||0.94|
|Chicago PD (O)||Renewed||1.61||1.32|
|Law & Order: SVU (O)||Renewed||1.69||1.39|
|Chicago Med (O)||Renewed||1.77||1.45|
|Chicago Fire (O)||Renewed||1.8||1.48|
The Bear is as surprised as you, but here we are. “The Mysteries of Laura” looks like it will make it to a third season.
Considering it barely made it to a second, that’s quite a turn of events. It’s also one that says more about NBC’s relatively ho-hum slate of first-year dramas than the strength of “Laura,” which relative to the network average is in almost exactly the same place it was a year ago.
But if “Laura” can provide similarly reliable ratings for, say, half the season in 2016-17, NBC will take that.
|DSW||Dead Show Walking: All but officially canceled yet still airing|
|😥||sure bet to be canceled by May 2016|
|😦 😦||likely to be canceled by May 2016|
|😐 😐 😐||tossup between renewal and cancellation by May 2016|
|🙂 🙂 🙂 🙂||likely to be renewed by May 2016|
|😀 😀 😀 😀 😀||sure bet to be renewed by May 2016|
The Renew/Cancel Index is the ratio of a scripted show’s new episode adults 18-49 ratings to the new episode ratings of the other scripted shows on its network. It’s calculated by dividing a show’s new episode live+same-day adults 18-49 average rating by the live+same-day new episode average of all the new scripted show episodes on the show’s own network. Why live+same-day ratings? Because they correlate very closely with the rarely disclosed C3 ratings (viewing of commercials within three days of air), which are the basis for most ad deals.
Shows that have ended their seasons have their R/C Index number frozen at the point of their final episode.
(F) -Fridays: Shows airing on Fridays tend to be renewed with significantly lower than average Indexes.
(O) – Owned: All other things equal, shows owned by studios affiliated with their networks have a better shot at renewal than those from outside producers.