NBC scripted average through Nov. 15: 1.32
|Show||Status||18-49 rating||Renew/Cancel Index|
|Truth Be Told (F) (O)||DSW||0.64||0.48|
|The Mysteries of Laura||😦 😦||1.11||0.84|
|Undateable (F)||😐 😐 😐||0.76||0.58|
|Heroes Reborn (O)||😐 😐 😐||1.3||0.98|
|Grimm (F) (O)||🙂 🙂 🙂 🙂||1.0||0.76|
|Law & Order: SVU (O)||🙂 🙂 🙂 🙂||1.66||1.26|
|The Blacklist||😀 😀 😀 😀 😀||1.5||1.14|
|Chicago PD (O)||Renewed||1.51||1.14|
|Chicago Fire (O)||Renewed||1.82||1.38|
The show was always a pretty safe bet thanks to the third-season rule: Any show entering its third full season, and produced by a network’s sister studio, is a lock for renewal. “The Blacklist” is produced by Sony, which meant it couldn’t quite be locked in at the start of the season (NBC has a minority stake in the show).
Ratings haven’t been stellar in the show’s first full season on Thursday nights, but they are comfortably ahead of NBC’s scripted average. Toss in Sony’s already signed syndication deal with Netflix, and it’s a sure thing.
|DSW||Dead Show Walking: All but officially canceled yet still airing|
|😥||sure bet to be canceled by May 2016|
|😦 😦||likely to be canceled by May 2016|
|😐 😐 😐||tossup between renewal and cancellation by May 2016|
|🙂 🙂 🙂 🙂||likely to be renewed by May 2016|
|😀 😀 😀 😀 😀||sure bet to be renewed by May 2016|
The Renew/Cancel Index is the ratio of a scripted show’s new episode adults 18-49 ratings to the new episode ratings of the other scripted shows on its network. It’s calculated by dividing a show’s new episode live+same-day adults 18-49 average rating by the live+same-day new episode average of all the new scripted show episodes on the show’s own network. Why live+same-day ratings? Because they correlate very closely with the rarely disclosed C3 ratings (viewing of commercials within three days of air), which are the basis for most ad deals.
(F) -Fridays: Shows airing on Fridays tend to be renewed with significantly lower than average Indexes.
(O) – Owned: All other things equal, shows owned by studios affiliated with their networks have a better shot at renewal than those from outside producers.