The CW scripted average through Dec. 13: 0.64
|Show||Status||18-49 rating||Renew/Cancel Index|
|Crazy Ex-Girlfriend||😦 😦||0.29||0.45|
|Reign (F)||😐 😐 😐||0.3||0.47|
|Jane the Virgin||😐 😐 😐||0.4||0.63|
|The Vampire Diaries||🙂 🙂 🙂 🙂||0.56||0.88|
|iZombie||🙂 🙂 🙂 🙂||0.57||0.89|
|Supernatural||🙂 🙂 🙂 🙂||0.74||1.16|
|The Originals||😀 😀 😀 😀 😀||0.42||0.66|
|Arrow||😀 😀 😀 😀 😀||1.04||1.63|
|The Flash||😀 😀 😀 😀 😀||1.41||2.20|
“Crazy Ex-Girlfriend’s” Rachel Bloom picked up a Golden Globe nomination last week, joining her fellow CW star Gina Rodriguez (who won a Globe last year) in the lead actress in a comedy category. It’s a nice honor, but not one that’s likely to keep Bloom’s show going past this season.
Consider: “Jane the Virgin” premiered to a 0.6 18-49 rating in fall 2014 — not great by CW standards, but not terrible either. It received a full-season order after just two episodes. “Crazy Ex-Girlfriend,” meanwhile, debuted to a 0.3 and has stuck there ever since. The network waited six episodes to extend the show’s run, but only by five episodes.
The nomination for Bloom likely raises both her own and the show’s profile some, but The CW is not in a position to capitalize on it: “Crazy Ex-Girlfriend” isn’t due to return to the schedule until two weeks after the Globes air.
Note: All of The CW’s shows are produced by network owners CBS and Warner Bros., so the (O) designation (see below) is immaterial.
|DSW||Dead Show Walking: All but officially canceled yet still airing|
|😥||sure bet to be canceled by May 2016|
|😦 😦||likely to be canceled by May 2016|
|😐 😐 😐||tossup between renewal and cancellation by May 2016|
|🙂 🙂 🙂 🙂||likely to be renewed by May 2016|
|😀 😀 😀 😀 😀||sure bet to be renewed by May 2016|
The Renew/Cancel Index is the ratio of a scripted show’s new episode adults 18-49 ratings to the new episode ratings of the other scripted shows on its network. It’s calculated by dividing a show’s new episode live+same-day adults 18-49 average rating by the live+same-day new episode average of all the new scripted show episodes on the show’s own network. Why live+same-day ratings? Because they correlate very closely with the rarely disclosed C3 ratings (viewing of commercials within three days of air), which are the basis for most ad deals.
Shows that have ended their seasons have their R/C Index number frozen at the point of their final episode.
(F) -Fridays: Shows airing on Fridays tend to be renewed with significantly lower than average Indexes.
(O) – Owned: All other things equal, shows owned by studios affiliated with their networks have a better shot at renewal than those from outside producers.