The CW scripted average through Feb. 7: 0.67
The CW’s renew/cancel standings for week 20 of the 2015-16 season feature an upgrade for the network’s longest-running show:
|Show||Status||18-49 rating||Renew/Cancel Index|
|Crazy Ex-Girlfriend||😦 😦||0.3||0.45|
|Reign (F)||😐 😐 😐||0.31||0.46|
|Jane the Virgin||😐 😐 😐||0.39||0.58|
|The Vampire Diaries (F)||🙂 🙂 🙂 🙂||0.54||0.81|
|iZombie||🙂 🙂 🙂 🙂||0.55||0.82|
|The 100||🙂 🙂 🙂 🙂||0.63||0.94|
|Legends of Tomorrow||🙂 🙂 🙂 🙂||1.07||1.60|
|Supernatural||😀 😀 😀 😀 😀||0.73||1.09|
|The Originals (F)||😀 😀 😀 😀 😀||0.42||0.63|
|Arrow||😀 😀 😀 😀 😀||1.04||1.55|
|The Flash||😀 😀 😀 😀 😀||1.4||2.09|
Previously, the Bear declined to call “Supernatural” a sure bet for renewal since other factors could play into The CW’s decision on the show.
But we’re approaching the point of no return on final-season announcements, and there’s been nary a peep from the network. And as “Supernatural” is still running above The CW’s average, it’s time to call it a lock for a 12th year.
It’s very, very unlikely that The CW would just let the show fade out. So look for the Winchesters to be back yet again in 2016-17.
Note: All of The CW’s shows are produced by network owners CBS and Warner Bros., so the (O) designation (see below) is immaterial.
|DSW||Dead Show Walking: All but officially canceled yet still airing|
|😥||sure bet to be canceled by May 2016|
|😦 😦||likely to be canceled by May 2016|
|😐 😐 😐||tossup between renewal and cancellation by May 2016|
|🙂 🙂 🙂 🙂||likely to be renewed by May 2016|
|😀 😀 😀 😀 😀||sure bet to be renewed by May 2016|
The Renew/Cancel Index is the ratio of a scripted show’s new episode adults 18-49 ratings to the new episode ratings of the other scripted shows on its network. It’s calculated by dividing a show’s new episode live+same-day adults 18-49 average rating by the live+same-day new episode average of all the new scripted show episodes on the show’s own network. Why live+same-day ratings? Because they correlate very closely with the rarely disclosed C3 ratings (viewing of commercials within three days of air), which are the basis for most ad deals.
Shows that have ended their seasons have their R/C Index number frozen at the point of their final episode.
(F) -Fridays: Shows airing on Fridays tend to be renewed with significantly lower than average Indexes.
(O) – Owned: All other things equal, shows owned by studios affiliated with their networks have a better shot at renewal than those from outside producers.