The CW’s renew/cancel standings for week 23 of the 2015-16 season, which aren’t inclined to change for one show:
The CW scripted average through Feb. 28: 0.65
|Show||Status||18-49 rating||Renew/Cancel Index|
|Crazy Ex-Girlfriend||😦 😦||0.31||0.48|
|Reign (F)||😐 😐 😐||0.31||0.48|
|Jane the Virgin||😐 😐 😐||0.38||0.58|
|The Vampire Diaries (F)||🙂 🙂 🙂 🙂||0.51||0.78|
|iZombie||🙂 🙂 🙂 🙂||0.55||0.85|
|The 100||🙂 🙂 🙂 🙂||0.58||0.89|
|Legends of Tomorrow||🙂 🙂 🙂 🙂||0.97||1.49|
|The Originals (F)||😀 😀 😀 😀 😀||0.41||0.63|
|Supernatural||😀 😀 😀 😀 😀||0.74||1.14|
|Arrow||😀 😀 😀 😀 😀||1.02||1.57|
|The Flash||😀 😀 😀 😀 😀||1.42||2.18|
“iZombie” is going on hiatus for the next several weeks, so its rating is going to be frozen at a 0.55 till late March and its final few episodes of the season. And the Bear is holding onto the prediction of a likely renewal for the show.
The traditional numbers — just 32 episodes over two seasons — don’t speak well for the show, but “iZombie” was never headed for big money from a traditional TV syndication package. Streaming deals seem to — emphasis on “seem” — have a lower required episode count, since a streaming service is looking for a title to offer rather than so many hours to fill on an over-the-air or cable schedule.
That could work in its favor, and it’s a big part of why those four smileys are staying put for at least the next few weeks.
Note: All of The CW’s shows are produced by network owners CBS and Warner Bros., so the (O) designation (see below) is immaterial.
|DSW||Dead Show Walking: All but officially canceled yet still airing|
|😥||sure bet to be canceled by May 2016|
|😦 😦||likely to be canceled by May 2016|
|😐 😐 😐||tossup between renewal and cancellation by May 2016|
|🙂 🙂 🙂 🙂||likely to be renewed by May 2016|
|😀 😀 😀 😀 😀||sure bet to be renewed by May 2016|
The Renew/Cancel Index is the ratio of a scripted show’s new episode adults 18-49 ratings to the new episode ratings of the other scripted shows on its network. It’s calculated by dividing a show’s new episode live+same-day adults 18-49 average rating by the live+same-day new episode average of all the new scripted show episodes on the show’s own network. Why live+same-day ratings? Because they correlate very closely with the rarely disclosed C3 ratings (viewing of commercials within three days of air), which are the basis for most ad deals.
Shows that have ended their seasons have their R/C Index number frozen at the point of their final episode.
(F) -Fridays: Shows airing on Fridays tend to be renewed with significantly lower than average Indexes.
(O) – Owned: All other things equal, shows owned by studios affiliated with their networks have a better shot at renewal than those from outside producers.