The CW’s renew/cancel standings for week 24 of the 2015-16 season has a show holding steady in its safe spot.
The CW scripted average through March 6: 0.65
|Show||Status||18-49 rating||Renew/Cancel Index|
|Crazy Ex-Girlfriend||😦 😦||0.31||0.48|
|Reign (F)||😐 😐 😐||0.31||0.48|
|Jane the Virgin||😐 😐 😐||0.37||0.57|
|The Vampire Diaries (F)||🙂 🙂 🙂 🙂||0.51||0.78|
|iZombie||🙂 🙂 🙂 🙂||0.55||0.85|
|The 100||🙂 🙂 🙂 🙂||0.57||0.88|
|Legends of Tomorrow||🙂 🙂 🙂 🙂||0.96||1.48|
|The Originals (F)||😀 😀 😀 😀 😀||0.41||0.63|
|Supernatural||😀 😀 😀 😀 😀||0.74||1.14|
|Arrow||😀 😀 😀 😀 😀||1.02||1.57|
|The Flash||😀 😀 😀 😀 😀||1.42||2.18|
“The 100” has put up fairly consistent ratings throughout its run on The CW, averaging a 0.6 in adults 18-49 for Season 1 and a 0.52 last season. This season stands at a 0.57.
In other words, the show is probably doing what it needs to do to earn a fourth year on the network.
Traditional TV math doesn’t favor “The 100,” as it will only have 45 episodes by the end of this season. The CW is less bound by those sorts of things, however, and the Bear’s gut says that if the series can stay above water after the daylight savings drop, it will be OK.
Note: All of The CW’s shows are produced by network owners CBS and Warner Bros., so the (O) designation (see below) is immaterial.
|DSW||Dead Show Walking: All but officially canceled yet still airing|
|😥||sure bet to be canceled by May 2016|
|😦 😦||likely to be canceled by May 2016|
|😐 😐 😐||tossup between renewal and cancellation by May 2016|
|🙂 🙂 🙂 🙂||likely to be renewed by May 2016|
|😀 😀 😀 😀 😀||sure bet to be renewed by May 2016|
The Renew/Cancel Index is the ratio of a scripted show’s new episode adults 18-49 ratings to the new episode ratings of the other scripted shows on its network. It’s calculated by dividing a show’s new episode live+same-day adults 18-49 average rating by the live+same-day new episode average of all the new scripted show episodes on the show’s own network. Why live+same-day ratings? Because they correlate very closely with the rarely disclosed C3 ratings (viewing of commercials within three days of air), which are the basis for most ad deals.
Shows that have ended their seasons have their R/C Index number frozen at the point of their final episode.
(F) -Fridays: Shows airing on Fridays tend to be renewed with significantly lower than average Indexes.
(O) – Owned: All other things equal, shows owned by studios affiliated with their networks have a better shot at renewal than those from outside producers.