The CW scripted average through Nov. 1: 0.63
|Show||Status||18-49 rating||Renew/Cancel Index|
|Reign (F)||😦 😦||0.27||0.43|
|iZombie||😐 😐 😐||0.58||0.92|
|Jane the Virgin||🙂 🙂 🙂 🙂||0.37||0.59|
|The Vampire Diaries||🙂 🙂 🙂 🙂||0.58||0.92|
|Supernatural||🙂 🙂 🙂 🙂||0.78||1.24|
|The Originals||😀 😀 😀 😀 😀||0.43||0.68|
|Arrow||😀 😀 😀 😀 😀||0.98||1.56|
|The Flash||😀 😀 😀 😀 😀||1.4||2.22|
An hour-long dramedy with musical numbers about a lawyer who moves across the country to attempt to rekindle a decade-old relationship was never going to be an easy sell. So “Crazy Ex-Girlfriend’s” weak start goes beyond just a poor title. But it certainly doesn’t help.
And while the Renew/Cancel Index doesn’t pay attention to DVR ratings, it has to be noted that “Crazy Ex-Girlfriend’s” premiere got zero lift in adults 18-49. That simply doesn’t happen to scripted shows in this era, and if the same-day ratings weren’t bad enough, it shows a distinct lack of interest in the show.
Those who have seen “Crazy Ex-Girlfriend” really like it, but even in a world of niche TV, this looks too niche-y to survive.
Note: All of The CW’s shows are produced by network owners CBS and Warner Bros., so the (O) designation (see below) is immaterial.
|DSW||Dead Show Walking: All but officially canceled yet still airing|
|😥||sure bet to be canceled by May 2016|
|😦 😦||likely to be canceled by May 2016|
|😐 😐 😐||tossup between renewal and cancellation by May 2016|
|🙂 🙂 🙂 🙂||likely to be renewed by May 2016|
|😀 😀 😀 😀 😀||sure bet to be renewed by May 2016|
The Renew/Cancel Index is the ratio of a scripted show’s new episode adults 18-49 ratings to the new episode ratings of the other scripted shows on its network. It’s calculated by dividing a show’s new episode live+same-day adults 18-49 average rating by the live+same-day new episode average of all the new scripted show episodes on the show’s own network. Why live+same-day ratings? Because they correlate very closely with the rarely disclosed C3 ratings (viewing of commercials within three days of air), which are the basis for most ad deals.
(F) -Fridays: Shows airing on Fridays tend to be renewed with significantly lower than average Indexes.
(O) – Owned: All other things equal, shows owned by studios affiliated with their networks have a better shot at renewal than those from outside producers.
How has the Renew/Cancel Index worked out in past seasons? See all the Renew/Cancel Index predicted renewals and cancellations from recent television seasons.