crazy-ex-gf-renew-cancel-wk-6-2015

The CW scripted average through Nov. 1: 0.63

Show Status 18-49 rating Renew/Cancel Index
Crazy Ex-Girlfriend 😥 0.27 0.43
Reign (F) 😦 😦 0.27 0.43
iZombie 😐 😐 😐 0.58 0.92
Jane the Virgin 🙂 🙂 🙂 🙂 0.37 0.59
The Vampire Diaries 🙂 🙂 🙂 🙂 0.58 0.92
Supernatural 🙂 🙂 🙂 🙂 0.78 1.24
The Originals 😀 😀 😀 😀 😀 0.43 0.68
Arrow 😀 😀 😀 😀 😀 0.98 1.56
The Flash 😀 😀 😀 😀 😀 1.4 2.22

 

An hour-long dramedy with musical numbers about a lawyer who moves across the country to attempt to rekindle a decade-old relationship was never going to be an easy sell. So “Crazy Ex-Girlfriend’s” weak start goes beyond just a poor title. But it certainly doesn’t help.

And while the Renew/Cancel Index doesn’t pay attention to DVR ratings, it has to be noted that “Crazy Ex-Girlfriend’s” premiere got zero lift in adults 18-49. That simply doesn’t happen to scripted shows in this era, and if the same-day ratings weren’t bad enough, it shows a distinct lack of interest in the show.

Those who have seen “Crazy Ex-Girlfriend” really like it, but even in a world of niche TV, this looks too niche-y to survive.

Note: All of The CW’s shows are produced by network owners CBS and Warner Bros., so the (O) designation (see below) is immaterial.

Key:

DSW Dead Show Walking: All but officially canceled yet still airing
😥 sure bet to be canceled by May 2016
😦 😦 likely to be canceled by May 2016
😐 😐 😐 tossup between renewal and cancellation by May 2016
🙂 🙂 🙂 🙂 likely to be renewed by May 2016
😀 😀 😀 😀 😀 sure bet to be renewed by May 2016


The Renew/Cancel Index is the ratio of a scripted show’s new episode adults 18-49 ratings to the new episode ratings of the other scripted shows on its network. It’s calculated by dividing a show’s new episode live+same-day adults 18-49 average rating by the live+same-day new episode average of all the new scripted show episodes on the show’s own network. Why live+same-day ratings? Because they correlate very closely with the rarely disclosed C3 ratings (viewing of commercials within three days of air), which are the basis for most ad deals.

(F) -Fridays: Shows airing on Fridays tend to be renewed with significantly lower than average Indexes.

(O) – Owned: All other things equal, shows owned by studios affiliated with their networks have a better shot at renewal than those from outside producers.

How has the Renew/Cancel Index worked out in past seasons? See all the Renew/Cancel Index predicted renewals and cancellations from recent television seasons.

Posted by:The Cancel Bear

The Cancel Bear is a bear who tracks and devours low-rated TV shows.

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