The CW scripted average through Nov. 8: 0.63
|Show||Status||18-49 rating||Renew/Cancel Index|
|Reign (F)||😦 😦||0.28||0.44|
|Jane the Virgin||😐 😐 😐||0.38||0.60|
|iZombie||🙂 🙂 🙂 🙂||0.58||0.92|
|The Vampire Diaries||🙂 🙂 🙂 🙂||0.58||0.92|
|Supernatural||🙂 🙂 🙂 🙂||0.74||1.17|
|The Originals||😀 😀 😀 😀 😀||0.42||0.67|
|Arrow||😀 😀 😀 😀 😀||1||1.59|
|The Flash||😀 😀 😀 😀 😀||1.42||2.25|
“The Flash” and “Arrow” are The CW’s two best-performing series, and both saw their ratings rise last week. They are both sure bets to be renewed for next season.
But they’re not the only comic book-based shows on The CW. After a couple weeks in tossup territory, “iZombie” gets a bump up to safe bet for renewal. It has the same profile as CW staple “The Vampire Diaries,” and it appears to have stabilized a little after a couple of rough outings earlier in the season.
But as one show goes up, another goes down. “Jane the Virgin” enters tossup territory this week. If half a smiley were possible, it would probably still lean slightly toward renewal, but a same-day rating of under 0.4 is worrisome, even for The CW.
Note: All of The CW’s shows are produced by network owners CBS and Warner Bros., so the (O) designation (see below) is immaterial.
|DSW||Dead Show Walking: All but officially canceled yet still airing|
|😥||sure bet to be canceled by May 2016|
|😦 😦||likely to be canceled by May 2016|
|😐 😐 😐||tossup between renewal and cancellation by May 2016|
|🙂 🙂 🙂 🙂||likely to be renewed by May 2016|
|😀 😀 😀 😀 😀||sure bet to be renewed by May 2016|
The Renew/Cancel Index is the ratio of a scripted show’s new episode adults 18-49 ratings to the new episode ratings of the other scripted shows on its network. It’s calculated by dividing a show’s new episode live+same-day adults 18-49 average rating by the live+same-day new episode average of all the new scripted show episodes on the show’s own network. Why live+same-day ratings? Because they correlate very closely with the rarely disclosed C3 ratings (viewing of commercials within three days of air), which are the basis for most ad deals.
(F) -Fridays: Shows airing on Fridays tend to be renewed with significantly lower than average Indexes.
(O) – Owned: All other things equal, shows owned by studios affiliated with their networks have a better shot at renewal than those from outside producers.
How has the Renew/Cancel Index worked out in past seasons? See all the Renew/Cancel Index predicted renewals and cancellations from recent television seasons.